Can the world trading system survive Donald Trump?

Manufacturing employment growth in the U.S. has been modest since returning to pre-pandemic levels, indicating underlying weaknesses. This trend suggests that while some gains are highlighted, broad improvements for middle-class workers remain elusive, per commentary from Peterson Institute for International Economics.

President-elect Trump’s proposed tariffs will significantly raise prices for many imported goods, especially electronics, machinery, and vehicles. These changes will put financial pressure on American consumers and businesses alike, per commentary from Peterson Institute for International Economics.  

Agrobiodiversity loss poses significant risks to food security and may undermine political stability. Protecting diverse agricultural species is crucial for sustaining food production and responding to environmental challenges, per commentary from Center for Strategic and International Studies.

• Christopher S. Chivvis and Jennifer Kavanagh at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace discuss the potential for AI to both enhance and complicate decision-making within the U.S. National Security Council, highlighting challenges like information overload and misperceptions.
• The article asserts that advanced AI could combat groupthink by offering diverse perspectives but also risks intensifying it due to overconfidence in AI systems, and emphasizes the need for training and AI governance to ensure effective use and stability in crises.

• Elaine Kamarck and William A. Galston at Brookings examine that the Republican National Convention highlighted a stark contrast between a verbose Trump and a struggling Biden, leading to widespread speculation about Biden's potential exit and Kamala Harris's possible rise as the Democratic candidate.
• The article argues that while Trump missed an opportunity to solidify his lead with a long-winded, undisciplined speech, Democratic officials and voters are increasingly viewing Biden as a weakened candidate, potentially paving the way for Harris to step in and challenge Trump's controversial policies.