January 14, 2024

Forecasting China’s strategy in the Middle East over the next four years

Thinktanker Summary

China is poised to strengthen its political and economic presence in the Middle East over the next four years. This engagement will be motivated primarily by a need to secure energy resources and enhance diplomatic relations, per commentary from Brookings.

China is poised to strengthen its political and economic presence in the Middle East over the next four years. This engagement will be motivated primarily by a need to secure energy resources and enhance diplomatic relations, per commentary from Brookings.

The issue:  

China's reliance on Middle Eastern oil remains a core challenge, with approximately 53% of its crude imports coming from the region in 2022. This dependence will persist despite efforts to diversify energy sources, particularly as the country aims to reduce carbon emissions while still increasing oil usage.

What they recommend:  

No recommendations provided in the commentary.

Go deeper:  

China's economic engagement with the Middle East reached nearly $229 billion in 2022, highlighting a growing interest beyond just energy. Investments in sectors like technology and infrastructure suggest that China aims to create stronger trade ties and reduce overdependence on oil. The Gaza conflict may shift China's diplomatic strategies, prompting a reassessment of relationships with Saudi Arabia and Iran.

This is a brief overview of a commentary from Brookings. For complete insights, we recommend reading the full commentary.

THINK TANK PROFILE

Washington DC
Founded 1916
An influential Washington-based think tank focusing on global security, defense, and economic policy.
Liberal
Leans Right
View
Create your own think tank.
Get the insights shaping policy and power every week.
Join us on Substack + Linkedin.

Related

Center for Strategic International Studies

President Trump’s latest tariff plan is under fire from a conservative think tank, which says the math behind it is both flawed and misleading.

  • Donald Trump focused on separating himself from his party's extreme policies and addressing key voter concerns like the economy and abortion.

The presidential debate accomplished more for Harris than it did for Trump

Commentary
Leans Left
RAND Corporation

AEI experts explore the potential political impact of President Biden's support for Israel on his electoral prospects in Michigan, particularly among Muslim and Arab American voters.

The shift in Arab American support away from Biden in Michigan is important, but it is unlikely to be the sole deciding factor in Michigan's electoral outcome.

Will Support for Israel Cost Biden Michigan?

Commentary
Conservative
Cato Institute

Cato Institute expert Robert A. Levy writes that U.S. SupremeCourt Chief Justice Roberts will be "concerned about political repercussions" if Trump is disqualified from running.

Levy also argues that liberal justices will likely lean toward allowing voting citizens to decide if Trump should be President.

Trump’s Disqualification: A Primer

Video
Libertarian