Brookings
·
Published
May 9, 2024
Share this article

Summary

  • Elaine Kamarck and Deirdre Keenan at Brookings argue that North Carolina has become a key swing state due to significant population growth and shifting demographics, particularly in the Raleigh-Durham-Cary area, which is attracting college-educated professionals and new residents from heavily Democratic states, indicating a potential Democratic advantage in upcoming elections.
  • The analysis asserts that efforts by the North Carolina Democratic Party, led by Anderson Clayton, to mobilize young voters, re-engage rural communities, and contest every legislative race could generate significant momentum and potentially tilt the state toward a Democratic victory in the 2024 presidential election.

Overview:  

This article was written by Elaine Kamarck and Deirdre Keenan at Brookings.

  • North Carolina has become a swing state due to significant population growth and shifting demographics.
  • The Democratic Party is focusing on mobilizing young voters and re-engaging rural communities as part of their 2024 strategy.

Key Quotes:

  • “Then in 2008, Barack Obama, the first successful African American presidential candidate, eked out a victory that was widely attributed to very high African American turnout.”
  • “As a result of his far-right views and inflammatory rhetoric, Robinson has struggled to garner support outside of his conservative evangelical base—alienating moderate voters and anti-Trump Republicans.”

What They Discuss:

  • The Raleigh-Durham-Cary combined statistical area has seen a population increase of 5.6% since 2020, drawing people from heavily Democratic states.
  • From 2011 to 2021, the largest increases in net migration to North Carolina came from Democratic strongholds such as California and New York.
  • Nearly 90% of the 900,000+ people who moved to North Carolina between 2010 and 2020 are people of color, many likely to vote Democratic.
  • The percentage of North Carolinians with at least a bachelor’s degree is rising, correlating with a Democratic voter increase.
  • In 2022, Democrats left over 25% of state legislative races unchallenged, which strengthened the Republican stronghold in North Carolina.

What They Recommend:

  • Encourage young people to register to vote and participate as volunteers to support the Democratic campaign.
  • Contest every state legislative race to challenge the Republican majority and leverage “down-ballot” momentum.
  • Address radical candidates like Mark Robinson to galvanize voter turnout against extremist views.

Key Takeaways:

  • North Carolina’s swing state status is influenced by demographic changes and migration from Democratic states.
  • The North Carolina Democratic Party’s strategy includes mobilizing young voters, re-engaging rural communities, and contesting all state legislative races.
  • Down-ballot races can significantly impact top-of-the-ticket outcomes, similar to momentum seen in the 2020 Georgia Senate races.
  • Far-right candidates like Mark Robinson may drive moderate and anti-Trump Republican voters to support Democratic candidates, including President Biden.

This is a brief overview of the article by Elaine Kamarck and Deirdre Keenan at Brookings. For complete insights, we recommend reading the full article.

Related articles

All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
AI's Power Requirements Under Exponential Growth
RAND Corporation
·
Nov 18, 2023

AI's Power Requirements Under Exponential Growth

Summary

The exponential growth of artificial intelligence (AI) systems is driving unprecedented demands for power that could overwhelm existing infrastructure. If not addressed, U.S. companies may have to relocate AI operations overseas, jeopardizing national competitiveness and security, per commentary from RAND Corporation. 

Center
Report
·
Artificial Intelligence
Read summary
(1 min.)
-->
“Government Efficiency,” You Say? AEI Scholars Have Ideas
American Enterprise Institute
·
Nov 18, 2023

“Government Efficiency,” You Say? AEI Scholars Have Ideas

Summary
  • James Pethokoukis at American Enterprise Institute writes that the newly announced Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), led by Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, will act as an external consulting group to the Trump White House, aiming to provide recommendations to streamline government operations by July 4, 2026.

  • The commentary argues that Washington policymakers should examine actionable proposals for improving healthcare, Social Security, and tax reform. These policies emphasize market incentives, fiscal responsibility, and economic growth, as discussed in the AEI report "A Balanced Plan for Fiscal Stability and Economic Growth."
Conservative
Commentary
·
2024 U.S. Elections
Read summary
(1 min.)
-->
Trump gained some minority voters, but the GOP is hardly a multiracial coalition
Brookings
·
Nov 18, 2023

Trump gained some minority voters, but the GOP is hardly a multiracial coalition

Summary
  • William H. Frey at Brookings writes that despite claims of a multiracial transformation, Trump's support remains predominantly among white voters, with only modest gains among Latino or Hispanic voters and minimal shifts among Black voters.
  • The analysis asserts that the long-standing racial voting divide persists, with Democrats retaining significant support from Black and Latino or Hispanic voters, questioning any significant transformation of the GOP voter base.
Leans Left
Research
·
2024 U.S. Elections
Read summary
(1 min.)
-->
In Tied Presidential Race, Harris and Trump Have Contrasting Strengths, Weaknesses
Pew Research Center
·
Nov 18, 2023

In Tied Presidential Race, Harris and Trump Have Contrasting Strengths, Weaknesses

Summary
  • Pew Research Center report shows that the presidential race between Harris and Trump is currently deadlocked, with each candidate receiving 49% support among registered voters. Voters regard Trump as stronger on the economy while Harris is preferred on abortion and personal traits like honesty.
  • The survey asserts that voters are divided on Trump’s actions related to the 2020 election and his age. Additionally, Harris would make history if elected, being the first woman, Asian American, and Black woman president, while Trump would become the oldest person to assume office at 78.
Nonpartisan
Report
·
2024 U.S. Elections
Read summary
(1 min.)
-->
Project 2025’s Tax Plan Would Raise Taxes on the Middle Class and Cut Taxes for the Wealthy
Center for American Progress
·
Nov 18, 2023

Project 2025’s Tax Plan Would Raise Taxes on the Middle Class and Cut Taxes for the Wealthy

Summary
  • Brendan Duke at Center for American Progress argues that Project 2025 proposes a tax plan that raises taxes on low- and middle-income families while giving significant tax cuts to the wealthy and corporations.
  • The analysis asserts that the introduction of a flat consumption tax and elimination of income taxes would result in higher costs for middle- and low-income households, shifting the tax burden away from wealthy individuals and large corporations.
Progressive
Commentary
·
2024 U.S. Elections
Read summary
(1 min.)
-->
No results found.
Original Read Time
9 min
Organization
The Brookings Institution
Category
Israel-Gaza War
Political Ideology
Center Left

We make expert analysis of current events
simple and accessible for all.

Join us in elevating our public discourse.