January 13, 2024

In Tied Presidential Race, Harris and Trump Have Contrasting Strengths, Weaknesses

Thinktanker Summary
  • Pew Research Center report shows that the presidential race between Harris and Trump is currently deadlocked, with each candidate receiving 49% support among registered voters. Voters regard Trump as stronger on the economy while Harris is preferred on abortion and personal traits like honesty.
  • The survey asserts that voters are divided on Trump’s actions related to the 2020 election and his age. Additionally, Harris would make history if elected, being the first woman, Asian American, and Black woman president, while Trump would become the oldest person to assume office at 78.

Overview:

This report was published by Pew Research Center. 

  • The presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is deadlocked, with 49% of registered voters supporting each candidate.
  • Harris holds considerable advantages in personal traits and issues like abortion, while Trump leads on economic confidence.

Key Quotes:

  • "55% of voters say they are very or somewhat confident in Trump to make good decisions about economic policy, compared with 45% who say that about Harris."
  • "Currently, 61% of voters say the phrase 'mentally sharp' describes Harris very or fairly well, compared with 52% who describe Trump this way."

What They Discuss:

  • The latest national survey highlights the unchanged dynamics of the presidential race and the contrasting strengths and weaknesses of the candidates.
  • Trump leads among White voters (56% to 42%), while Harris garners significant support from Black voters (84% to 13%) and Asian voters (61% to 37%).
  • Economic outlook remains bleak, with only 25% of Americans rating the national economy as excellent or good.
  • The potential historic impact of Harris becoming the first woman, Asian American, and Black woman president, versus Trump potentially becoming the oldest president to take office at 78.
  • Divided opinions on the acceptability of presidential actions, with differences in perspectives on the investigation of political opponents, pardons, and the use of executive orders.

What They Recommend:

  • The article does not specify direct recommendations from the author but implies the importance of understanding voter priorities and candidate strengths in shaping policy and campaign strategies.

Key Takeaways:

  • The race is highly competitive, with both candidates bringing distinctive strengths to the table.
  • Voters have varying degrees of confidence in the candidates' capabilities, influenced by personal traits and issue-specific stances.
  • The economic outlook and demographic preferences play crucial roles in voter support.
  • The potential impacts of the candidates’ demographic characteristics and public perceptions of their actions are significant factors.
  • The presidential actions and the candidates' pasts, including divisive issues like Trump’s role in the 2020 election and fraud charges, heavily influence voter opinions.

This is a brief overview of the report by Pew Research Center. For complete insights, we recommend reading the full article.

THINK TANK PROFILE

Washington DC
Founded 1916
An influential Washington-based think tank focusing on global security, defense, and economic policy.
Liberal
Leans Right
Create your own think tank.
Get the insights shaping policy and power every week.
Join us on Substack + Linkedin.

Related

Center for Strategic International Studies

President Trump’s latest tariff plan is under fire from a conservative think tank, which says the math behind it is both flawed and misleading.

  • Donald Trump focused on separating himself from his party's extreme policies and addressing key voter concerns like the economy and abortion.

The presidential debate accomplished more for Harris than it did for Trump

Commentary
Leans Left
RAND Corporation

AEI experts explore the potential political impact of President Biden's support for Israel on his electoral prospects in Michigan, particularly among Muslim and Arab American voters.

The shift in Arab American support away from Biden in Michigan is important, but it is unlikely to be the sole deciding factor in Michigan's electoral outcome.

Will Support for Israel Cost Biden Michigan?

Commentary
Conservative
Cato Institute

Cato Institute expert Robert A. Levy writes that U.S. SupremeCourt Chief Justice Roberts will be "concerned about political repercussions" if Trump is disqualified from running.

Levy also argues that liberal justices will likely lean toward allowing voting citizens to decide if Trump should be President.

Trump’s Disqualification: A Primer

Video
Libertarian